China economist says phase one trade deal likely this year if there is no disturbance

21 Nov 2019
An economist at a Chinese State think tank 
ForexLive
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Here is more on China’s chief negotiator's 'cautious optimism' on a trade deal

21 Nov 2019
The post is here, the news sent risk currencies on a pop higher, equity indexes up etc.
If you'd like more, here is the Bloomberg story available now:
ForexLive
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AUD traders - Moody's downgrades Australian states' outlook to 'negative'

21 Nov 2019
The local press here in Australia, Australian Financial Review with the  report:
-
Ratings agency Moody's has downgraded its outlook for state governments 
Moody's further notes 
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China's head trade negotiator Liu "cautiously optimistic" about reaching a trade deal

21 Nov 2019
China's Vice Premier and leader of the trade negotiating team 
Up until this the news on the trade deal has been universally dour. 
Risk jumping on this comment (Bloomberg reported it).
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Morgan Stanley like the AUD, cite RBA dovishness diminishing

21 Nov 2019
Via a Bloomberg report on comments from Hans Redeker, global head of currency strategy at Morgan Stanley
RBA to reduce its dovishness as the housing market recovers
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China's Vice President says China still faces severe external and internal challenges

21 Nov 2019
Wang Qishan speaking, says the international order is under attack
So far nothing specific from him on what appears to be diminishing prospects for a US-China trade deal.
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PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.0217 (vs. yesterday at 7.0118)

21 Nov 2019
People's Bank of China cut nearly a big figure out the onshore yuan at the dauly setting 
No OMOs today.
ForexLive
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FX option expiries for Thursday November 21 at the 10am NY cut

21 Nov 2019
EUR/USD
-  1.0950 684m EUR
-  1.1000 1.2bn
-  1.1025 605m
-  1.1035 669m
-  1.1050 884m
-  1.1090 1.2bn
 USD/JPY
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AUD/JPY slipping. If you are wondering why ….

21 Nov 2019
It does appear that a trade deal between the US and China any time soon is looking less likely  
Just a few of the recent headlines ICYMI …. 
Forex risk not liking it, AUD/yen for example. Slow droop though:
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Goldman Sachs expect the global economic growth slowdown to end soon

21 Nov 2019
GS say growth to pick up in response to easier financial conditions and an end to the trade escalation.
-  annual-average GDP growth is likely to rise only modestly from 3.1% in 2019 to 3.4% in 2020,
A little more from the note:
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